"We live in a world of chance, and if we wish to live intelligently we must know how to take chances intelligently."
Horace C Levinson Chance, Luck and Statistics

Probability is our way of quantifying chance. Knowledge of probability helps in evaluating risks and in making decisions.

These links will help towards an understanding of probability.

Probability and Intuition ... Peter Winkler

A Short History of Probability ... Tom M. Apostol

A Math Forum Project
... The Beginnings of Probability
... Pascal's Generalization
... Summary: A Great Moment in Mathematics

The Math of Confused Eyewitnesses ... John Allen Paulos

Nation's Mathematicians Guilty of Innumeracy, G P. Posner

The Monty Hall Trap ... Jim Loy

Monty Hall Dilemma ... Cut The Knot

Probability versus Statistics
... Calculated Bets
... Shodor

How to Lie and Cheat with Statistics ... Eric H. Chudler

The (un)Truth About Statistics ... Hands-On Astrophysics

Misuse and Misconception of Statistical Facts ... cut-the-knot

"Lies, damned lies, and statistics": the seven deadly sins … Steven S. Ross

Telling the Truth About Damned Lies and Statistics ... Joel Best

Control group study ... SkepDic.com

Statistical Literacy ... Milo Schield

More on Statistical Literacy can be found at StatLit .org

Critical Thinking